HowRisky MCP Server
Enables institutional-grade Monte Carlo risk analysis for portfolios, startups, real estate, and betting strategies using fat-tail distributions and proprietary algorithms. Provides comprehensive risk metrics including CVaR, VaR, ruin probability, and survival probability across multiple asset classes.
README
HowRisky MCP Server
Monte Carlo risk analysis for AI agents. Institutional-grade financial modeling with fat-tail distributions and proprietary KDE algorithms.
8 Tools: Portfolio risk (CVaR, ruin probability), startup equity, real estate, Kelly criterion betting, and more.
Compatible with: Claude Desktop, ChatGPT Desktop, Cursor, Windsurf, Cline, GitHub Copilot, VS Code, Codex
Standard Config
{
"mcpServers": {
"howrisky": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "howrisky-mcp-server"],
"env": {
"HOWRISKY_API_KEY": "your-api-key-here"
}
}
}
}
Get your free API key at: https://howrisky.ai/app/settings (100 calls/month free)
Getting Started
Step 1: Get your API key from https://howrisky.ai/app/settings
Step 2: Add the standard config above to your AI tool's MCP configuration
That's it! Your AI can now access Monte Carlo risk simulations.
Installation
<details> <summary>Claude Desktop</summary>
Edit config file:
- MacOS:
~/Library/Application Support/Claude/claude_desktop_config.json - Windows:
%APPDATA%\Claude\claude_desktop_config.json
Add the standard config above.
Restart Claude Desktop.
Test it: Ask Claude "Using HowRisky, what's the risk of a 60/40 portfolio?"
</details>
<details> <summary>ChatGPT Desktop</summary>
- Open ChatGPT Desktop Settings
- Go to Apps & Connectors → Advanced settings
- Enable Developer mode
- Add MCP server configuration (use standard config above)
Restart ChatGPT Desktop.
Test it: Ask ChatGPT "Use HowRisky to calculate CVaR for 100% SPY portfolio"
</details>
<details> <summary>Cursor</summary>
Add to Cursor's MCP configuration file:
Use the standard config above.
Cursor supports MCP via VS Code extension compatibility.
</details>
<details> <summary>Windsurf</summary>
Add to Windsurf MCP settings:
Use the standard config above.
Windsurf's MCP integration works similarly to Cursor.
</details>
<details> <summary>Cline (VS Code)</summary>
Via Cline MCP Marketplace:
- Open Cline in VS Code
- Search for "howrisky" in MCP Marketplace
- Click Install
- Enter API key when prompted
Manual Setup:
Add to VS Code Settings → Extensions → Cline → MCP Servers:
Use the standard config above.
</details>
<details> <summary>GitHub Copilot / VS Code</summary>
Add to VS Code settings.json:
Use the standard config above in the MCP servers configuration section.
</details>
<details> <summary>Remote Server (HTTP)</summary>
For custom integrations or web-based AI tools:
Endpoint: https://mcp.howrisky.ai
Authentication: Include X-API-Key header with your API key
Documentation: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/docs
Example:
curl -X POST https://mcp.howrisky.ai \
-H "X-API-Key: your-api-key" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{"jsonrpc":"2.0","method":"tools/list","id":1}'
</details>
Available Tools
| Tool | Description |
|---|---|
calculate_portfolio_risk |
CVaR, VaR, ruin probability, survival probability |
simulate_future_timelines |
Year-by-year portfolio evolution with percentiles |
compare_portfolios |
Side-by-side risk comparison of multiple portfolios |
text_to_portfolio |
Natural language → asset allocations |
add_startup |
Startup equity modeling with exit scenarios |
add_real_estate |
Real estate with cash flows, IRR, mortgage analysis |
add_private_asset |
Illiquid asset modeling (PE funds, etc.) |
add_gamble |
Kelly criterion for high-risk betting strategies |
Full documentation: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/docs
Example Usage
Once configured, ask your AI:
"Using HowRisky, calculate the risk of investing $100K in a 60/40 portfolio over 20 years"
The AI will:
- Discover HowRisky tools via
tools/list - Call
calculate_portfolio_riskwith correct parameters - Return CVaR, survival probability, ruin risk, and other metrics
Features
Fat-Tail Modeling - Gaussian models underestimate crash risk by 3-10x. Our proprietary KDE captures reality.
Comprehensive Metrics - 12 risk metrics including CVaR 95/99, VaR, ruin probability, percentiles
Private Assets - Model startups, real estate, PE funds, and high-risk gambles
Tax-Aware - 15+ countries supported (US, GB, DE, FR, IT, ES, JP, AU, CA, etc.)
Custom Scenarios - Override historical data with your own market assumptions
Pricing
| Tier | Calls/Month | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Free | 100 | $0 |
| Developer | 10,000 | $99 |
| Professional | 100,000 | $299 |
| Enterprise | 1,000,000 | $999 |
View pricing: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/pricing
Support
- Issues: https://github.com/howrisky/howrisky-mcp-server/issues
- Docs: https://howrisky.ai/mcp/docs
- Email: mcp@howrisky.ai
License
Proprietary - Copyright © 2025 Diogo Seca / HowRisky.ai
You may use this software to access HowRisky MCP API. Modification and redistribution prohibited. See LICENSE for details.
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